INITIAL ASSESSMENT OF SOME RELATED SOCIO-ECONOMIC PARAMETERS UNDER THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE AT DISTRICT 8 IN HO CHI MINH CITY
Keywords:climate change, analytic hierarchy process, district 8.
AbstractAbout 7.9 % of population is living in poverty at District 8, which is one of the most vulnerable areas to climate change in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC). The impacts of climate change (CC) on some related socio-economic parameters at District 8 were assessed using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and livelihood vulnerability index (LVI). For this, four Asian Development Bank’s criteria including public health, transport, energy, and water supply and drainage (WSD) were used. In addition, however, six World Bank’s criteria including land use, population, gross domestic product (GDP), urban expansion, agriculture and wetland were also used just for initially trying whether or to what extent they can be useful for such downscaled application. Results of this study show that the level of CC impacts on the residential areas is rather high, with an average LVI of 0.056. In addition, the results of AHP shown that the impact levels on the study fields are determined to follow a decreasing order as: first level group including energy, water supply and drainage, transport, and public health (with total score 0.22); the second level group including land use and wetland (with total score 0.14); the third level group including population and urban expansion (with total score 0.1); and at last the fourth level group including GDP and agriculture (with total score 0.09).
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