TY - JOUR AU - Hải, Đặng Thanh PY - 2017/03/24 Y2 - 2024/03/29 TI - ĐÁNH GIÁ KHẢ NĂNG PHÁT SINH ĐỘNG ĐẤT MẠNH Ở MIỀN BẮC VIỆT NAM JF - Vietnam Journal of Earth Sciences JA - Vietnam J. Earth Sci. VL - 27 IS - 1 SE - Articles DO - 10.15625/0866-7187/27/1/9377 UR - https://vjs.ac.vn/index.php/jse/article/view/9377 SP - 14-22 AB - <p>This paper presents 6 seismogenic zones in the Northern part of Vietnam, based on the viewpoint of seismotectonic and the combination of the recently interpreters of geological, geophysical and geodynamic data.</p><p>The modified first type Gumbel asymptotic distribution of extreme value can allow to issue the maximum magnitude preparedness earthquakes for each zone. ln the other hand, the time- magnitude predictable model can allow to caculate the probabilities of occurrence of strong· earthquakes in the six seismogenic zones (with magnitudes M5 = 5.0, 5.5 and 6.0) for the next 10, 20, 30 , 40 and 50 years (from 2002 year).</p> ER -