TY - JOUR AU - Bela, J. AU - Panza, G. F. PY - 2021/03/25 Y2 - 2024/03/29 TI - NDSHA - The New Paradigm for RSHA - An Updated Review JF - Vietnam Journal of Earth Sciences JA - Vietnam J. Earth Sci. VL - 43 IS - 2 SE - Articles DO - 10.15625/2615-9783/15925 UR - https://vjs.ac.vn/index.php/jse/article/view/15925 SP - 111-188 AB - <p>A New Paradigm (data driven and not like the currently model driven) is needed for Reliable Seismic Hazard Assessment RSHA. Neo-Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (NDSHA) integrates earthquake geology, earthquake science, and particularly earthquake physics<em> </em>to finally achieve a New (and needed) Paradigm for Reliable Seismic Hazard Assessment RSHA.</p><p>Although observations from many recent destructive earthquakes have all confirmed the validity of NDSHA’s approach and application to earthquake hazard forecasting-nonetheless damaging earthquakes still cannot yet be predicted with a <em>precision </em>requirement consistent with issuing a red alert and evacuation order to protect civil populations. However, intermediate-term (time scale) and middle-range (space scale) <em>predictions </em>of main shocks above a pre-assigned threshold may be properly used for the implementation of low-key<em> </em>preventive safety actions, as recommended by UNESCO in 1997. Furthermore, a proper integration of both seismological and geodetic information has been shown to also<em> </em>reliably contribute to a reduction of the geographic extent of alarms and it therefore defines a New Paradigm for TimeDependent Hazard Scenarios: Intermediate-Term (time scale) and Narrow-Range (space scale) Earthquake Prediction.</p><h3> </h3> ER -